Reversing Pascal: scepticism about religious belief and its value

Abstract Pascal famously argued that practical reasoning should lead people to try form within themselves a commitment religious practice and obedience, based upon belief in God. I propose take less ambitious argument, which call the Sensible Argument, use it present The Puzzle. argue there is huge puzzle here, about radical dissonance between beliefs practices of many purportedly religious. There are, will argue, good reasons doubt, concerning (clearly not all or indeed most) purported believers, whether they are at least their strong; religion seems greatly increase risks deception, duplicity, hypocrisy, as well self-deception inauthenticity. By turning towards life, one therefore be adding great morality-related risks. Arguably, if God who deeply cares individual moral behaviour, he would punish transgressors more than secular ones. One unlikely saved from hell (or other severe divine punishment) by becoming If going wager, much sensible wager on side.